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词汇 black swan
释义

Definition of black swan in English:

black swan

noun
  • 1A mainly black swan with white flight feathers which is common in Australia and Tasmania and has been introduced elsewhere.

    黑天鹅

    Cygnus atratus, family Anatidae

    Example sentencesExamples
    • There were black swans and white swans in the park, and a huge dolls' house where rabbits lived.
    • The Delhi zoo had about 4-5 pairs of black swans, but now their numbers has come down to one male and two females.
    • The black swans were given to the university by the Wildlife And Wetlands Trust, in exchange for Pochard duck eggs.
    • One day, I took a short-cut across St James's Park and saw, in the lake, a black swan.
    • There was also a mass of black swans, making little cooing sounds that reminded me of learning to play the recorder in primary school.
  • 2An unpredictable or unforeseen event, typically one with extreme consequences.

    the bank industry's vulnerability to black swans
    as modifier black swan events always look eminently predictable in hindsight, yet no one ever predicts them
    Example sentencesExamples
    • The prospect of a black swan event is interesting and worth thinking about.
    • I hope this system will improve our reliability to the point where the only outages we suffer are really the extremely unexpected black swans.
    • Black swans are unpredictable, Taleb argues, because by their nature they represent a break with what has come before.
    • At the same time, even if we were to accept that black swans really are the drivers of history, would that necessarily mean that they are unpredictable?
    • Observers of black swans tend to overestimate the analysable and underestimate the non-explainable.
    • The great financial crisis of 2008 to 2009, whose consequences still blight our economy, is sometimes portrayed as a black swan.
    • To defend ourselves against black swans, general knowledge is a crucial first step.
    • Black swan events only exist if we focus on causes instead of outcomes.
    • The focus of the investigation should not be on how to avoid any specific black swan, for we don't know where the next one is coming from.
    • A black swan event tends to answer a question never asked.
    • Traders stop blaming losses on so-called Black Swans and instead accept that their own models are wrong.
    • Proponents of black swan strategies argue that during the financial crisis, most markets moved downward at the same time, and therefore those who counted on diversification to save them were sorely disappointed.
    • He also argues that one of the problems with black swans is that, although they are prospectively unpredictable, in retrospect they look like they could have been foreseen.
    • Stimulus after stimulus leaves us with no savings, overleveraged and unable to cope with the next "black swan" that comes along.
    • Not all black swans are bad: some of them, like the rise of the Internet, are fantastically good.
    • Options provide the right to buy a stock at a prearranged price in the future, presumably helping to protect buyers from black swans.
    • But in risk management we need to deal with black swans that have consequences.
    • Black swans can have extreme effects: just a few explain almost everything, from the success of some ideas and religions to events in our personal lives.
    • The black swan concept focuses on an individual event instead of the cumulative probability of the numerous events that will lead to the same outcome.
    • No one could have foreseen that so many of the financial innovations would turn into black swans.
  • 3Something extremely rare.

    husbands without faults, if such black swans there be

    完美无缺的丈夫,假如有如此人间尤物的话。

    Example sentencesExamples
    • Our system of rewards is not adapted to black swans.
    • Viewed in this framework, all scientific theorisations (economic or otherwise) are basically waiting for the black swan.
    • The statement is a paradox which cannot be tested empirically - no matter how many black swans you look for - and whose truth-value cannot be judged.

Definition of black swan in US English:

black swan

nounˌblak ˈswän
  • 1A mainly black swan with white flight feathers which is common in Australia and Tasmania and has been introduced elsewhere.

    黑天鹅

    Cygnus atratus, family Anatidae

    Example sentencesExamples
    • There were black swans and white swans in the park, and a huge dolls' house where rabbits lived.
    • One day, I took a short-cut across St James's Park and saw, in the lake, a black swan.
    • The black swans were given to the university by the Wildlife And Wetlands Trust, in exchange for Pochard duck eggs.
    • There was also a mass of black swans, making little cooing sounds that reminded me of learning to play the recorder in primary school.
    • The Delhi zoo had about 4-5 pairs of black swans, but now their numbers has come down to one male and two females.
  • 2An unpredictable or unforeseen event, typically one with extreme consequences.

    the bank industry's vulnerability to black swans
    as modifier black swan events always look eminently predictable in hindsight, yet no one ever predicts them
    Example sentencesExamples
    • Black swans can have extreme effects: just a few explain almost everything, from the success of some ideas and religions to events in our personal lives.
    • Black swan events only exist if we focus on causes instead of outcomes.
    • He also argues that one of the problems with black swans is that, although they are prospectively unpredictable, in retrospect they look like they could have been foreseen.
    • Observers of black swans tend to overestimate the analysable and underestimate the non-explainable.
    • Traders stop blaming losses on so-called Black Swans and instead accept that their own models are wrong.
    • Stimulus after stimulus leaves us with no savings, overleveraged and unable to cope with the next "black swan" that comes along.
    • The focus of the investigation should not be on how to avoid any specific black swan, for we don't know where the next one is coming from.
    • A black swan event tends to answer a question never asked.
    • No one could have foreseen that so many of the financial innovations would turn into black swans.
    • Options provide the right to buy a stock at a prearranged price in the future, presumably helping to protect buyers from black swans.
    • The great financial crisis of 2008 to 2009, whose consequences still blight our economy, is sometimes portrayed as a black swan.
    • Proponents of black swan strategies argue that during the financial crisis, most markets moved downward at the same time, and therefore those who counted on diversification to save them were sorely disappointed.
    • I hope this system will improve our reliability to the point where the only outages we suffer are really the extremely unexpected black swans.
    • The prospect of a black swan event is interesting and worth thinking about.
    • Black swans are unpredictable, Taleb argues, because by their nature they represent a break with what has come before.
    • To defend ourselves against black swans, general knowledge is a crucial first step.
    • But in risk management we need to deal with black swans that have consequences.
    • Not all black swans are bad: some of them, like the rise of the Internet, are fantastically good.
    • The black swan concept focuses on an individual event instead of the cumulative probability of the numerous events that will lead to the same outcome.
    • At the same time, even if we were to accept that black swans really are the drivers of history, would that necessarily mean that they are unpredictable?
  • 3Something extremely rare.

    husbands without faults, if such black swans there be

    完美无缺的丈夫,假如有如此人间尤物的话。

    Example sentencesExamples
    • The statement is a paradox which cannot be tested empirically - no matter how many black swans you look for - and whose truth-value cannot be judged.
    • Viewed in this framework, all scientific theorisations (economic or otherwise) are basically waiting for the black swan.
    • Our system of rewards is not adapted to black swans.
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